Development trends report for Southern Africa

This report explores current and projected trajectories of Southern African countries to 2040 based on multi-source historical data.

Over the past 15 years Southern Africa has enjoyed a period of relative peace, a contrast to the previous four decades when violent coups and long-standing civil wars confronted many countries in the region.

Countries in Southern Africa appear to be approaching a tipping point, where actions today — especially those that change the trajectory of government capacity and effectiveness — will determine whether the region retreats into a period of potentially violent instability or advances toward a more prosperous, sustainable future.

Throughout this report, we use the International Futures Current Path scenario to explore the long-term trends in country-level development across issue areas to 2040.

Authors: David K. Bohl, Steve Hedden, Jonathan D. Moyer, Kanishka Narayan and Jessica Rettig

Development partners
This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by The Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.
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