Modelling shows that the civil war is pushing an already fragile development trajectory towards systemic collapse.
Repeated flooding is unravelling years of progress in the region
Ending the military-heavy AUSSOM gives the AU space to develop a political mission focused on long-term stabilisation.
South Sudan’s fragile transition is increasingly shaped by forces beyond its borders that drive illicit arms flows into the country.
Vigilante videos, AI-generated content and Mandela-linked framing are fuelling millions of mentions and xenophobic sentiment.
A year-long pause should end in stronger political backing, renewed legitimacy and broader ownership of transitional justice.
State security forces, militias and vigilante groups increasingly overlap, making insecurity more profitable and conflict harder to resolve.
Female activists are filling the reporting gap in Sudan, but this raises concerns about credibility, protection and oversight.
A loss of democratic credibility would undercut diplomatic gains and strengthen M23’s demands for autonomy in eastern DRC.
Conflict, mistrust and closed borders are hindering the containment of Ebola in DRC and neighbouring countries.
The persistent crisis exposes serious failures by the state, peacekeeping missions and justice mechanisms tasked with protecting civilians.
The spread of Ukrainian technology and expertise could alter the balance between state and non-state armed groups across Africa.
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