Pending the outcome of ECOWAS-AES talks, cooperation between neighbouring states offers a starting point for rebuilding regional security ties.
The Horn’s proliferating diplomatic appointments have done little to bolster African influence amid new Middle Eastern alliances.
Disbanding militias is key to Libya's reunification, but could lead to weapons stockpiles being trafficked into neighbouring countries.
Growing competition for African ports and security partnerships offers new leverage – if countries can avoid deeper geopolitical fragmentation.
Attention should shift to preserving the peace deal that underpins the current government and is key to averting large-scale violence.
Reduced international support for peacekeeping in Somalia comes at a time of heightened political tensions in the country.
The two armed groups are currently united in their opposition to the government, but fundamental differences could break their bond.
The Durban summit identified the right economic priorities, but a geopolitical strategy and credible regional security approach are lacking.
Chad’s rapprochement clashes with its recent emphasis on national sovereignty and risks reviving insecurity among neighbours and disillusionment at home.
Reopening its liaison office offers a narrow, but real, opportunity for the African Union to help achieve a ceasefire.
Prosecuting Rapid Support Forces members in Kenya won’t be easy, but will ultimately depend more on politics than on law or capacity.
Modelling shows that the civil war is pushing an already fragile development trajectory towards systemic collapse.
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