Reduced international support for peacekeeping in Somalia comes at a time of heightened political tensions in the country.
The Durban summit identified the right economic priorities, but a geopolitical strategy and credible regional security approach are lacking.
Chad’s rapprochement clashes with its recent emphasis on national sovereignty and risks reviving insecurity among neighbours and disillusionment at home.
Reopening its liaison office offers a narrow, but real, opportunity for the African Union to help achieve a ceasefire.
Prosecuting Rapid Support Forces members in Kenya won’t be easy, but will ultimately depend more on politics than on law or capacity.
Modelling shows that the civil war is pushing an already fragile development trajectory towards systemic collapse.
Repeated flooding is unravelling years of progress in the region
Ending the military-heavy AUSSOM gives the AU space to develop a political mission focused on long-term stabilisation.
South Sudan’s fragile transition is increasingly shaped by forces beyond its borders that drive illicit arms flows into the country.
Vigilante videos, AI-generated content and Mandela-linked framing are fuelling millions of mentions and xenophobic sentiment.
A year-long pause should end in stronger political backing, renewed legitimacy and broader ownership of transitional justice.
State security forces, militias and vigilante groups increasingly overlap, making insecurity more profitable and conflict harder to resolve.
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