The rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040

The country finds itself at a crossroad that requires radical but necessary economic and socio-political reforms.

This report analyses Tunisia’s most likely Current Path development trajectory post COVID-19, and the impact of three alternative scenarios. The Growth-led scenario simulates a future where Tunisia pursues economic growth at all costs. The Leapfrogging scenario takes advantage of technology to rapidly adopt modern systems for development. Finally, in the Sustainability & Equality scenario, Tunisia improves economic and human development without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs.

About the authors

Stellah Kwasi is a researcher in the African Futures and Innovation Programme at the ISS, Pretoria. Before joining the ISS she was a research affiliate at the Frederick S Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver, Colorado.

Jakkie Cilliers is the founder of the Institute, chairperson of the ISS Board of Trustees and currently heads the African Futures and Innovation Programme. He stepped down as executive director in 2015.

Lily Welborn is a research consultant with the ISS. Previously, she was a researcher at the African Futures and Innovation Programme at the ISS, Pretoria, and a research consultant with the Frederick S Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver, Colorado. She specialises in transnational crime and climate change.

Picture: Olga Ozik/Pixabay