Development prospects for the Horn of Africa countries to 2040

The region is a vital geostrategic site and one of the world’s most challenging regions for security and development.

The Horn of Africa is one of the world’s most challenging regions for security and development. It is also a highly significant geostrategic site. This report uses the International Futures modelling platform to analyse current and future development pathways to 2040 for Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somalia, Sudan and South Sudan. A presentation of these countries’ current development trajectories is followed by a discussion of alternative sectoral approaches to achieving inclusive, sustainable growth and development.

About the authors

Kouassi Yeboua is a Researcher in the African Futures and Innovation programme at the Institute for Security Studies in Pretoria. Before joining the ISS, he was the export representative at Sarina Glass Ltd in Istanbul, Turkey.

Jakkie Cilliers is the founder of the ISS, Chairperson of the ISS Board of Trustees and Head of the African Futures and Innovation programme at the ISS in Pretoria.

Photo: Adapted from Skilla1st/Wikimedia Commons