This report presents a forward-looking analysis of Ethiopia’s likely development trends to 2030 and explores policy tradeoffs through alternative future scenarios using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system. These scenarios investigate how USAID can support Ethiopia in advancing human development outcomes and hopes to inform USAID’s five-year Country Development Cooperation Strategy for 2016 to 2021, currently under development. The report has a short-term horizon of 2021, as well as a longer outlook to 2030 that allows exploration of the expected impact of the various interventions.
Authors: Zachary Donnenfeld, Alex Porter, Jakkie Cilliers, Jonathan D. Moyer, Andrew C. Scott, Joel Maweni and Ciara Aucoin
Picture: Francisco Anzola