How will COVID-19 change Africa?

New forecasts show how Africa can minimise the profound impact of the pandemic over the next decade.

The global impact of the unfolding COVID-19 pandemic is unprecedented in the 21st century. Within 14 weeks of the World Health Organization declaring a pandemic on 12 March, the new coronavirus had spread to every country in Africa.

A new study by Africa’s forecasting experts assesses the likely impact of the disease on the continent over the next decade. The report Exploring the impact of COVID-19 in Africa compares three scenarios on growth, mortality and other interventions with the continent’s development projections before the pandemic struck. It examines the impact on average incomes, poverty levels and selected Sustainable Development Goal targets. The study concludes with guidance on how to reduce vulnerability and strengthen Africa’s resilience.

This is a joint event of the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), Gordon Institute of Business Science (GIBS) and Frederick S Pardee Centre for International Futures.

Chair: Ottilia Anna Maunganidze, Head, Special Projects, ISS


Dr Jakkie Cilliers, Head, African Futures & Innovation, ISS

Panellists from the Gordon Institute for Business Science and the Frederick S Pardee Centre for International Futures

Development partners
This event is funded by Humanity United and the Hanns Seidel Foundation. The ISS is also grateful for support from the members of the ISS Partnership Forum: the Hanns Seidel Foundation, the European Union and the governments of Canada, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and the USA.
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