At a crossroads: global setbacks for Africa’s development future

Global events, including the Ukraine war, are widening the gap between Africa’s development path and the rest of the world.

Using the Institute for Security Studies’ (ISS) African Futures platform, this conference will consider:

  • Africa’s current development trajectory and key indicators of progress in a business as usual forecast to 2043.
  • Africa’s development potential under the African Union’s (AU) Agenda 2063 that combines the impact of various sectoral scenarios in an ideal, Sustainable World, future.
  • The impact of global developments on the future of Africa in four scenarios: a Sustainable World, a Divided World, a World at War and a Growth World. 

This event is co-hosted by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN) South Africa, and AUDA-NEPAD.


Moderator: Dr Yolande Steenkamp, Network Manager, SDSN South Africa


  • Alize le Roux, Senior Researcher, African Futures & Innovation, ISS
  • Dr Kouassi Yeboua, Senior Researcher, African Futures & Innovation, ISS
  • Dr Jakkie Cilliers, Head, African Futures & Innovation, ISS


  • Lawrence Matemba, Acting Head, Policy and Research Services, The Presidency, South Africa
  • Lee Everts, Chief, Macroeconomic Analysis Section, United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
Development partners
The ISS is grateful for support from the members of the ISS Partnership Forum: the Hanns Seidel Foundation, the European Union, the Open Society Foundations and the governments of Denmark, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden.
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