Monograph 55: The Role of Firearms in Crime in South Africa A Detailed Analysis of Police Dockets, By Ettienne Hennop, Jakkie Potgiete

Police dockets provide one of the few comprehensive sources of information from which to draw a broad range of data on firearm-related crimes. In this research, it was found that docket analysis as a source was limited by the incomplete evidence contained in police dockets. The challenge of the exercise became an attempt to understand the nature of firearm-related crime in South Africa, and to provide an acceptable conclusion of the debate on the interpretation of data within these constraints and the interpretation of data findings.

Firearm-related crime is increasing significantly in South Africa. The analysis of 787 police dockets demonstrated that both legal and illegal firearms are involved in firearm-related crime in South Africa. For more in-depth information on specific firearm-related crimes, summaries are provided in the second part of the monograph.

Robbery and theft cases are serious, since they result in a significant number of legal firearms entering the illegal pool of firearms. However, these police investigations usually do not result in the firearm being recovered:

  • The majority of armed robberies occurred on business premises. Handguns are usually used in armed robberies, as well as in hijacking incidents. However, marginally more people are injured in hijackings than in armed robberies.

  • Police detection of common robberies is low and the police have few leads to follow due to the element of surprise used by offenders when committing the crime. Firearms were the most prevalent items stolen in common robberies. In this sample, it was found that, for every ten incidents of common robbery, eight firearms moved from legal ownership to the illegal pool.

  • The theft of a firearm often occurs as a result of inappropriate storage of firearms by victims. The recovery rate of stolen firearms is low due to the lack of leads and information on such firearms, as well as the low rates of reporting of stolen firearms.

On the whole, firearm-related crime in South Africa is not investigated satisfactorily. Comparatively speaking, mostly murder and attempted murder cases are investigated. This is strongly influenced by the higher proportion of leads in these crimes, compared to other crimes:

  • Firearms are the most significant tool used to commit murder in South Africa. Police detection of murder is high, as is the rate of conviction.

  • Attempted murders are more predominant in residential areas and most attempted murders occur after hours or in the evenings. Significant proportions of attempted murders are detected, and equally significant numbers of cases are withdrawn by the state prosecutor.

In both the pointing of a firearm and the discharging of a firearm in a built-up or public place, people are injured, although this is not the intention of the crime:

  • Incidents where a firearm is pointed are usually reported to the police. Injury sometimes results from these incidents with 21.2% of the victims being injured.

  • The illegal discharge of a firearm in a built-up area or public place can result in the injury of innocent bystanders. It was found that 17.2% of victims were injured in these crimes.
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