ISS Weekly Issue 89, 2013

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ISS Weekly
31 October 2013  
 
Inga Dam
Feature: Did the almost-mythical Grand Inga project come any closer to realisation this week?
Political support matters, but the viability of the power plant that could change Africa’s economic prospects rests on finding the money to pay for it.

The Grand Inga hydroelectric project on the Congo River ‘has been in the pipe-line for a very long time’ South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma said in Kinshasa on Tuesday as his energy minister Ben Martins and Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) counterpart Bruno Kapindji signed yet another treaty confirming South Africa’s participation in the development of the mega-power plant.
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ISS Today  
 
Kenyatta - Heroes Day
President Kenyatta's dilemma over his impending ICC trial
Can Kenya's president defy the ICC and at the same time preserve his reputation as an international statesman?
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Nchito
Courageous leadership is essential to protect the rule of law in Africa
For the rule of law to work, much more is required than good legislation and functioning institutions of justice and accountability.
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Mo Ibrahim
Africa's dearth of leadership excellence
With the Mo Ibrahim Prize once again going unclaimed, it is worth taking note of exactly who the candidates were and why they did not win.
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Madagascar Vote
All eyes on Madagascar voting for a new president
A lot depends on a free and fair election in Madagascar, more than four years after Rajoelina's coup.
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Events  
 
Fragility
Prospects for Africa's 26 fragile countries
31 October 2013
This event examines long-term structural dynamics in Africa by forecasting the future of Africa's 26 'more fragile' countries.
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SA Economics
Back from the brink: How the South African government can reverse our flailing fortunes
1 November 2013
What must be done to improve South Africa’s social and economic circumstances and pull the country back from the brink?
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Conflict Trends
African futures, conflict trends and the African Union's response
5 November 2013
This seminar will provide a forecast of violence and fragility in Africa up to 2050 and discuss the implications of these conflict trends.
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al-Shabaab in Kenya
Kenya and the threat of extremism
5 November 2013
Concerns have been raised about al-Shabaab’s increasing aggressiveness and broadening reach outside of Somalia. What can Kenya do?
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Crime Stats 2013
Getting the most out of South Africa's crime statistics
6 November 2013
This seminar will examine the 2013 South African crime statistics and make recommendations as to how they could be better used.
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Armando Guebuza
The political and security situation in Mozambique
7 November 2013
This seminar will consider Mozambique’s political and security dynamics, the electoral reform process, and election management issues in the run-up to the November 2013 municipal polls.
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Post-Conflict South Sudan
Enhancing South African post-conflict development and peacebuilding capacity in Africa
This stakeholder meeting was the second of the ‘Enhancing responses to South Africa’s post-conflict development and peacebuilding capacity in Africa’ project.
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Climate change
Identifying entry points for climate adaptation and peacebuilding in the African context
Climate change is one of the most important factors in Africa's changing landscape. Developing policy frameworks and tools for practitioners is essential.
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Publications  
 
Paper 246
The future of intrastate conflict in Africa: More violence or greater peace?
This paper analyses future trends for intrastate conflict in Africa up to 2050 using the International Futures (IFs) model. The authors expect large-scale violence to continue its steady decline, although the risk of instability and violence is likely to persist, and even increase in some instances.
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Futures Paper
Prospects for Africa's 26 fragile countries
This paper provides a long-term forecast of 26 fragile African countries. They are chosen on the basis of comparative lists of fragile countries based on indicators that reflect the fragility syndrome.
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Multimedia  
 
Phiyega
SAPS National Comissioner facing charges
South Africa Insight episode 51: Gareth Newham explains the dynamics around the charges against the National Commissioner of Police, Riah Phiyega and reflects on potentially damaging evidence before the Marikana Commission.
Listen online...
 
 
Madagascar
Presidential elections are crucial for Madagascar's future
This week in Africa episode 64: Stephanie Wolters speaks about the important presidential polls in Madagascar; the potential threat of conflict in Mozambique and the latest decision by the ICC against Kenya's William Ruto. / La Semaine en Afrique episode 64: L'analyse de Stephanie Wolters sur les élections au Madagascar; la menace de la violence au Mozambique et la dernière décision de la CPI concernant le vice-président kenyan William Ruto.
Listen online in English... / Écoutez en ligne en français...
 
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