ISS Seminar, Pretoria: A Tale of Two Provinces: Deviations in Provincial Crime Trends
Date: 2011-11-03
Venue: , ISS Conference Room,
Block C, Brooklyn Court,
361 Veale Street,
New Muckleneuk,
Tshwane
RSVP:
Millicent Mlaba
Tel: (012) 346 9500
Fax: (012) 460 0997/ 086 508 1660
Email: [email protected]
According to the South African Police Service’s annual crime
statistics, overall crime fell by 5% between 2009/10 and 2010/11. Murder
fell by 6,5%, attempted murder by 12,2%, sexual offences by 4,4% and
aggravated robbery by 12,2%. This is also the case with almost all the
other crime categories, with the notable exception of commercial crime
that increased again this year by 2,8%, and the murder of women that
increased by 5,6%.
However,
not all the provinces share the same promising trends and in fact some
provinces show an alarming increase in crimes, against the national
trend. A case in point is the Western Cape where the murder rate has
increased over the past year from 42,4 to 44,2 per 100 000, which is
only slightly lower than the leading province, the Eastern Cape at 47,3.
But whereas the Eastern Cape’s murder rate decreased by 2,3% in the
past year, the murder rate in the Western Cape increased by 4,2%. There
are a number of other such anomalies, with both the Western Cape and the
Free State.
At
this seminar, these and other issues relating to the crime statistics
will be explored. We will also present the findings of a study of police
station-level statistics, focusing on those experiencing particularly
high levels of crime, and discuss how the ISS Crime and Justice
Information Hub can assist in the analysis of local level crime.
Provincial Commissioner of the South African Police Service in Gauteng,
Lieutenant General Mzwandile Petros will respond to the presentations
and offer his insights into the crime trends.
Speakers:
- Dr Johan Burger: South Africa’s 2010/11 crime statistics: The unexplained deviations in provincial trends
- Lizette Meyer-Lancaster:
Police stations that drive South Africa’s high crime rates & an
introduction to the utility of the ISS Crime and Justice Hub
- Lieutenant General Mzwandile Petros: A reflection on the provincial crime trends by the Provincial Commissioner of the South African Police Service in Gauteng
This seminar is made possible with funding from the Hanns Seidel Foundation.

ISS Rules:
Participants are free to use the information presented, but neither
the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any
other participants, may be revealed without his/her express permission.