ISS Pretoria, One World and Adelphi Seminar, BY INVITATION ONLY - Climate Change, Conflict and Cooperation in Southern Africa

                                                 

Climate Change, Conflict and Cooperation in Southern Africa

Regional Dialogue

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Background

On the international level, the debate on security implications of climate change has gained great momentum over the past years. Today, there is little doubt that climate change poses one of the key challenges for global economic development and human well-being and may put peace and security at risk. At a continental level, the African Union Commission has recently started discourse on this topic, with a view to stimulating response and regional cooperation across Africa. Among the key risks identified are scarcity of natural resources such as water, food, and energy. Due to these scarcities and as a result of extreme weather events such as floods and storms, also increasing migration movements are expected. The countries of Southern Africa will be among the most severely affected by climate change. Rising temperatures as well as changing precipitation patterns will challenge food, water, and energy security in the entire region.

At the same time, climate change policies offer potential pathways for regional cooperation and benefit sharing and can create new chances for economic and social development, e.g. through the implementation of sustainable solutions in the energy sector and more generally, joint strategies for a low carbon economy.

Political Context

The Regional Dialogue in Pretoria follows up on the concerns raised by, among others, a 2009 United Nations report from Secretary-General Ban-Ki Moon on the possible security implications of climate change. In addition, the Security Council discussed the security implications of climate change under the German Council presidency in July 2011 with the result of a Presidential Statement emphasizing the importance of addressing the security risks. The German Federal Foreign Office supports this and further regional dialogues on this topic to move from risk analysis to preventive actions.

Objectives of the Regional Dialogue

In the light of the challenges outlined above, the Dialogue aims to identify options to intensify regional cooperation and to minimize threats for development, livelihoods and peace. By bringing together decision makers and experts from the region as well as from Europe a dialogue process should be initiated to address inter alia the following questions:

  • What are the likely hot-spots of conflict in Southern Africa that may be exacerbated by climate changes?
  • What can be done to mitigate the likelihood or extent of these conflicts? What are appropriate governance models and/or response mechanisms?
  • How can conflict constellations be transformed into opportunities for regional cooperation and benefit sharing, e.g. in the realm of water, food, and energy?
  • What are the required parameters for regional climate resilient foreign policy given the additional stress of climate change?
  • What are the key entry points for integrating climate change into the continental and regional security infrastructure?

Participants

The Regional Dialogue aims at bringing together experts from the foreign and security as well as climate policy community. This includes decision makers from South Africa, neighboring countries and Germany and the UK as well as experts from Southern Africa such as the Institute for Security Studies(ISS).  

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