BY INVITATION ONLY: ISS Seminar, Nairobi: Southern Sudan 2011

 Reflections on the Referendum and the Post-Referendum Transitional Period

Background

January 9, 2011 was an indelible day in the history of the people of Southern Sudan, Sudan and the world as a whole. The people of South Sudan conducted a relatively peaceful referendum on self determination as provided for by the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) signed in 2005, which ended a 21-year long brutal civil war. Preliminary results indicate that Southern Sudan will vote to secede and establish a new state defined along the North - South boundaries established by the CPA. In the build up to the referendum a number of issues were left unresolved notably the contentious Abyei referendum that was to take place concurrently with the Southern referendum. There is also the contentious concern of the “Popular Consultations” in the Blue Nile and the South Kordofan states which have not been implemented. These in addition to a number of transitional issues regarding citizenship, wealth and oil revenue sharing, the Sudan debt, currency, the outstanding border demarcation and the fate of a range of regional and international agreements among others, are yet to be discussed, negotiated and resolved.

With the referendum completed, it is imperative that North and South leadership engage and establish frameworks for the constructive management of post-referendum issues during the six-month interim transitional period. Principally, the Government of Southern Sudan must now turn to the process of establishing a sustainable and credible statehood in the South amid a myriad challenges of managing expectations, (re) settling returnees, consolidating the diverse southern political elites and military formations, and building positive relations with the North, sub-regional economic communities and international governments among others.

Aims of the Seminar

The almost declared emergence of a new nation state in Southern Sudan is a defining moment with significant implications for Sudan, Southern Sudan, sub-region and the global political and security environment. South Sudan currently borders five other countries in the volatile Horn of Africa most of which have outstanding border issues and it is part of the Nile Basin an internationally shared water resource –whose utilization has been in contention for a very long time. There is an unresolved status of the oil rich Abyei region among other unfinished business of the CPA - making the management of post-referendum issues critical for internal and regional stability.

To interrogate key post-referendum challenges and develop practical policy options for conflict prevention, high-level panelists drawn from the Government of Southern Sudan, regional governments, academia, think-tanks and civil society, will address the following key issues:

  • Reflections on the conduct of the Referendum and Lessons Learnt
  • Reflections on the implementation of the CPA
  • Nurturing Southern Sudan’s Statehood
  • Managing critical post-referendum issues (Abyei referendum and other regions, status of North-South negotiations on oil and wealth sharing, debt, border demarcation and citizenship etc)
  • Regional and international dimensions of the South Sudan independence and implications for sub-regional security and prospects for economic development of the sub-region

The seminar aims to stimulate quality discussion, in-depth and constructive interaction between participants and brings together government officials, politicians, diplomats, academics, researchers, the media and members of the civil society to deliberate on this important issue.

ISS Rules

Please note that discussions occur under the ISS Rule, which means no attribution without specific permission.

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