ISS Weekly Issue 41, 2012

 

Issue 41

Thursday, 18 October 2012

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Contact the ISS

Pretoria
Tel: +27 12 346 9500/2
Email: [email protected]

Addis Ababa
Tel: +251 11 515 6320
Email: [email protected]

Cape Town
Tel: +27 21 461 7211
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Dakar
Tel: +221 33 824 0921
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Nairobi
Tel: +254 20 266 7208
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Events

19 October, Addis Ababa: Somalia After the Presidential Election: The Way Forward

After almost 21 years of state collapse and eight years of transition, Somalia is experiencing a historical turning point in its political fortunes. A draft Constitution was approved, a new Parliament was installed and, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud was elected president of Somalia. Just 18 days after the presidential election, AMISOM and Somali forces captured Kismayo, Al Shabaab’s last strategic stronghold.

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25 October, Nairobi: Perspectives on and Impact of the International Criminal Court’s Cases in Kenya

As Kenya approaches its much-anticipated 2013 general elections, the key questions are: What are the prospects of elections-related violence? Has the ICC helped safeguard against further violent political mobilisation? Has the ICC encouraged reconciliation? These critical questions will be discussed and debated at this seminar.

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25 to 26 October, Johannesburg: ISS 3rd International Conference: National and international perspectives on crime reduction and criminal justice

On 25 October 2012 the ISS` Crime and Justice Programme will be holding its 3rd annual international conference on crime and criminal justice.

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31 October: Book Launch: Johannesburg: The Responsibility to Protect - From Evasive to Reluctant Action? The Role of Global Middle Powers

What happens if a state turns against its own people? Should the international community respect state sovereignty and the principle of non-interference, or should it intervene in an internal conflict? The publication “The Responsibility to Protect` - From Evasive to Reluctant Action? The Role of Global Middle Powers` contributes to the debate around R2P from the perspective of four middle-power countries and regional hegemons - Germany, India, Brazil and South Africa (GIBSA) - which were all non-permanent members of the United Nations Security Council in 2011, and whose views were often overshadowed by those of the permanent members.

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Open the debate on ISSAfrica.org, powered by Disqus

The ISS website is now `Disqus` enabled on all content. Contribute to the debate on Africa by airing your views on the work of the ISS. The Disqus forum is at the end of all content items on our website.

 

ISS Today
Is Mozambique Headed for a Presidential Third Term Fiasco?

Gwinyayi Dzinesa, Senior Researcher, Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis Division, ISS Pretoria

The recent cabinet reshuffle could have a profound impact on Mozambique’s political landscape. Could this mean a bid by President Armando Guebuza for a third term in office?

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Why Military Intervention in Mali Would be a Mistake

Abdelkader Abderrahmane, Senior Researcher, Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis Division, ISS Addis Ababa

Following the NATO intervention in Libya last year, which has in turn triggered the current chaos in Mali, a new foreign military interference in Africa would only worsen the security situation on the African continent.

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Farm Attacks and Farm Murders Remain a Concern

Johan Burger,  Senior researcher, Crime and Justice Programme, ISS Pretoria

Why are ongoing attacks and murders on South African farms no longer a priority for the government, especially at a time when the crisis in commercial agriculture is deepening, with a concomitant threat to our food security?

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Is a War over the Nile Still Imminent?

Debay Tadesse, Senior Researcher, Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis Division, ISS Addis Ababa

Conflict over the use of the Nile River has existed for centuries. The outcome of the present Nile water negotiations could have profound consequences for the region and the African continent.

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New on ISS Africa

The SARPCCO Female Police Gender Advisors/Mentors Course Task Team Meeting

The idea of establishing a SARPPCO Female Police Gender Advisors/Mentors Course forms part of long-standing TfP objectives at building and enhancing regional capacity for participation in UN and/or AU peace operations. In particular, the idea seeks to also contribute to the achievement of the objectives of UN Security Council Resolution 1325 (2000) on Women, Peace and Security (WPS). The key objective areas of this focus are increased participation of women in peace implementation, as well as the protection, prevention and empowerment of vulnerable populations, notably women and men, and boys and girls.

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ISS Seminar Report: A New Era for the African Union Commission

The first presentation, entitled ‘The realistic expectations of the new AUC Chairperson: exaggerated optimism or deflated pessimism?’, was made by Dr Jide Martyns Okeke, a senior researcher at the ISS Addis Ababa Office. Dr Admore Kambudzi, Head of the AU Peace and Security Secretariat, made the second presentation on ‘The recent trends in Peace and Security in Africa’. He identified the general trends of peace and security in Africa. Dr Mehari Taddelle Maru, an independent consultant and former ISS programme manager, presented on ‘The African Union Commission (AUC) new leadership and its implications: a legal perspective’. The last presentation was from Ms Janah Ncube, executive director CCP-AU, on ‘The AU that we want: civil society vision for the new AUC leadership’.

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ISS Paper 238: The Nile, From Mistrust and Sabre Rattling to Rapprochement

The purpose of this paper is to examine the implications of the recent unprecedented dynamism in the hydropolitics of the Nile Basin for future basin-wide conflict prevention, resolution, management and cooperation. To this end, the paper first discusses why the Nile waters are a major source of conflict in the Nile Basin, and, then it highlights the past and present bilateral and multilateral attempts at conflict management within the basin and their impact on upstream–downstream relations. It argues that it is imperative to first give priority to the most contentious areas of the Nile Basin by capitalising on the current opportunities presented by Egypt’s gesture of goodwill, to bring about effective basin-wide cooperation.

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Rapport sur le Conseil de paix et de securite No 39

Ce mois-ci, nos chercheurs d’Addis Abéba et de Dakar nous proposent des analyses sur la Somalie, le Soudan du Sud et la Côte d`Ivoire.


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